LETTERS FROM OMAHA A Plain-English Guide to Buffett's Letters
Chapter 01
1977

The year Warren Buffett explained, in plain words, how to tell a good business from a merely busy one.

Shareholder letter dated March 14, 1978
$21.9MProfit from running the businesses
19%Earned on the owners' money
$181MWhat its stockholdings were worth
5Plain lessons inside
Growth of a $1 stake · since year-end 1964 (the start of the Buffett era)
≈ $11.2in the stock, by year-end 1977
≈ $10.3in book value, by year-end 1977
Compounded from Berkshire's own per-share record of market and book value. Approximate, and drawn from public data, not the 1977 letter.
Where the letters begin

This is where it all begins: the first of Warren Buffett's now-famous annual letters to the shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway. A new one has followed every year since. In early 1978, he sat down to tell the people who owned a piece of his company how the year had gone.

He was not just reporting numbers. Without quite announcing it, he laid out a way of thinking about business and money that would run through every letter he wrote afterward. We will read it as five simple lessons, each tied to the real 1977 business that proves it.

  1. 01"We made more money" doesn't mean muchThe real scoreboard
  2. 02Some businesses are hard no matter how good you areHeadwinds
  3. 03And some businesses give you a free pushTailwinds
  4. 04Buy a slice the way you'd buy the whole shopOwnership
  5. 05The best businesses grow without needing cashQuiet winners
01
The Real Scoreboard

"We made more money" doesn't mean much

In 1977 Berkshire made about $22 million in profit from running its businesses, and the profit for each slice of the company jumped 37% over the year before. That sounds great. Buffett's first job is to explain why, on its own, it isn't.

The idea

A company making more money than last year is not automatically doing a good job. What counts is how much profit it earns for every dollar the owners have put in.

Yes, profit per slice rose 37%. But the owners had also put 24% more money into the business that year, so most of that jump was simply a bigger pile of money making more money, not the company getting smarter. The figure Buffett actually cared about was this: for every $100 of the owners' money the company began the year with, it earned about $19 of profit. A 19% return, better than most companies manage, and far better than leaving cash in a bank.

Plain terms

Finance people call that 19% the return on equity. It just means profit measured against the owners' money. It is the one number that cannot be faked by a business simply getting bigger.

Picture it

Money in a savings account grows every single year while you do nothing at all, because the interest earns interest. Sitting on the sofa, sadly, is not a business strategy. So "we earned more than last year" proves nothing by itself. The real question is always: more, compared to what you put in?

Exhibit 1Why "more than last year" can fool you
YR 1YR 2YR 3YR 4 A SAVINGS ACCOUNT RISES BY ITSELF more dollars every year, no skill required 19% EARNED ON THE OWNERS' MONEY the number that actually counts PROFIT PER SHARE +37% OWNERS' STAKE +24% a bigger stake earns more on its own
The 37% rise looks impressive until you notice the owners' stake grew 24% at the same time. Return on equity strips out the illusion.
02
Headwinds

Some businesses are hard no matter how good you are

Berkshire's original business was making cloth. In 1977 it had another bad year, and Buffett had wrongly promised it would improve two years running. That, he admitted, might say something about the textile business, his own forecasting, or both. He uses it to make an honest point about effort.

The idea

In some industries, even excellent and hard-working managers can only ever do okay, because the whole industry is brutally tough.

The cloth business kept struggling with both making and selling its product. Buffett kept it going anyway, and he is honest about why: the factories were among the biggest employers in their towns, the workers were loyal and skilled, and years earlier this same business had quietly supplied the cash that built Berkshire's far better insurance arm. But he does not pretend. In cloth-making, he says, even very good management can earn only modest results.

Exhibit 2Two kinds of business · the wind decides
HEADWIND The cloth business Great managers, hard work, INTO A BRUTAL INDUSTRY = modest results at best TAILWIND The insurance business Steady managers, a few slips, CARRIED BY A GREAT INDUSTRY = a strong year anyway
Same effort, opposite outcomes. In cloth the industry sets the ceiling; in insurance it lifts the floor. Buffett's rule: choose the tailwind.
Picture it

It is like sprinting straight into a strong headwind. You can be the fittest runner alive and still barely move forward. The wind, not your fitness, is deciding the race.

03
Tailwinds

And some businesses give you a free push

Insurance was the opposite story, and Berkshire's big winner. An insurer collects money from many customers up front and pays out only to the few who later suffer a loss. Done well, it is a wonderful business. Done badly, it is a wonderful business for the customers.

The idea

Other businesses have the wind at your back. You can do very well in them even when you make some mistakes.

When Berkshire entered insurance in 1967, its insurers collected about $22 million a year from customers. By 1977 that was $151 million, roughly seven times more, and Berkshire never had to sell new slices of itself to pay for the growth. Why was 1977 so strong? Insurers had pushed through big price rises in 1976 after some dreadful years, and those higher prices only fully landed in 1977. Even a few honest mistakes could not spoil a year like that.

Exhibit 3Insurance grew about sevenfold in ten years
$22M 1967 · ENTERED INSURANCE $151M 1977 ≈ 7× NO NEW SHARES ISSUED
Seven times bigger in a decade, and it paid for itself: no new shares of Berkshire were sold to fund the growth.

Buffett adds a warning. The good times were already fading. The cost of paying claims was creeping up about 1% every month (things get pricier over time, and juries keep deciding insurers owe more). Unless prices kept climbing too, profits would shrink, and he expected them to start shrinking later in the year.

Plain terms · a simple scoreboard for an insurer

For every $1 an insurer collects, count how many cents it pays back out in claims and costs. Under $1, it keeps the difference as profit. Over $1, it is losing money on the insurance itself. (The trade calls this the combined ratio.)

Exhibit 4For every $1 collected, how much went back out?
90¢95¢$1.00$1.05$1.10 BREAK EVEN ◀ KEEPS MONEY LOSES MONEY ▶ ≈ 94¢ CORNHUSKER · THE LEADER ≈ $1.07 REINSURANCE · IMPROVING
Cornhusker, a small Berkshire insurer, paid out about 94¢ of every dollar and kept the rest, the best of the group. A unit that insures other insurers paid out about $1.07, losing a little, though it was getting better.
The idea, again

When every company sells the exact same thing, the only thing that sets them apart is the people running them.

Insurance, Buffett points out, is almost identical from one company to the next. Everyone sells the same thing: a promise to pay if something goes wrong. Anyone can get a license, and the prices are public. Nothing makes one insurer special except how well it is run, which is why he praises his managers by name, like a coach naming star players.

Picture it

A row of stalls all selling identical bottles of water at the same price. The water is the same everywhere. The only thing that decides which stall wins is the person behind the counter.

04
Ownership

Buy a slice the way you'd buy the whole shop

Berkshire's insurers held a big pile of cash, and Buffett invested it by buying shares of other companies. The trick: he buys a few shares thinking exactly like someone buying the entire business.

The idea · four questions

Do I understand how it makes money? Will it still do well in ten years? Are the people honest and good at their jobs? And is the price a bargain?

Exhibit 5The four-question filter · before buying any slice
Any business he is offered
  1. 1Do I understand how it makes money?
  2. 2Will it still do well in ten years?
  3. 3Are the people honest and good at their jobs?
  4. 4Is the price a bargain?
All four “yes” → worth owning a piece
It has to clear every gate, not three of four. Miss one and he walks away, however tempting the rest look.

Here is what Berkshire paid for its biggest shareholdings, beside what those shares were worth at the end of 1977. The first thing worth noticing is not the gains, but when Buffett bought.

Exhibit 6The portfolio · paid vs. worth at year-end 1977
CompanyWhat it isBoughtPaidWorth '77Compounded/yr
Kaiser IndustriesMetalsmid-70s$0.8M$6.0M≈174%
GEICOCar insurance · common1976$4.1M$10.5M≈156%
GEICOCar insurance · preferred1976$19.4M$33.0M≈70%
InterpublicAdvertising~1973$4.5M$17.2M≈40%
The Washington PostNewspapers1973$10.6M$33.4M≈33%
Ogilvy & MatherAdvertising~1973$2.8M$7.0M≈26%
Knight-RidderNewspapers~1974$7.5M$8.7M≈5%
Kaiser AluminumMetalsmid-70s$11.2M$10.0M≈-5%
Capital CitiesTV & newspapers1977$10.9M$13.2Mnew
All holdings$106.9M$181.1M
Compounded/yr is how fast each holding grew per year from purchase to year-end 1977 (annual compounding, explained in the Prologue). It is a rough, illustrative figure: a short hold or an approximate purchase year can turn one big gain into a very high yearly rate, and Capital Cities, bought in 1977, has no full year yet. Berkshire held two kinds of GEICO stock: preferred (paid first, safer) and common (ordinary ownership), both bought in 1976 when GEICO nearly collapsed. Kaiser Aluminum was worth a little less than he paid, and he was content to wait, which is a serene way of saying he was down on it. Years are from Berkshire's letters and public records; Capital Cities (1977) is named in the letter, and a few older ones are approximate (~).
Notice the timing

Several holdings date to the market slump of 1973 and 1974, when fine companies were on sale. The big GEICO stake came in 1976, the year that insurer nearly went bankrupt and its price collapsed. Capital Cities was brand new in 1977. The pattern fits what Buffett says elsewhere in this very letter: when prices fall, he is glad to buy more, not less.

The Washington Post stands out: about $10.6 million paid, worth roughly $33.4 million. Yet Buffett warns against getting carried away by a number like that. He reminds shareholders that any single date's figure is unreliable: at the end of 1974 his stockholdings carried an unrealized loss of about $17 million, only three years before they showed a $74 million gain at the end of 1977. He judges his choices by how the businesses perform over many years, not by the price on any single day.

Exhibit 7Two snapshots of the portfolio, three years apart
= WHAT HE PAID END 1974 −$17M looked like a loser +$74M END 1977 looked like a winner 3 YEARS LATER
Two single-date marks on the stock portfolio: an unrealized loss of about $17M at the end of 1974, a $74M gain three years later. The snapshot lied; the long story told the truth.
A surprising point

Berkshire put about $10.9 million into Capital Cities, a company with excellent managers. Buying it outright would have cost about twice as much, and Buffett admits he could not have run it as well as the people already there. So owning a piece, and leaving the right people in charge, beat taking over and running it himself.

The idea

Never judge a business by a single moment. A snapshot can fool you. Watch the whole story unfold over years.

Buffett tells an embarrassing story about his own company. Back in 1948, Berkshire's cloth mills were a powerhouse: about $18 million in profit, 10,000 workers, profits in the league of giants like IBM. A snapshot from 1948 would have screamed "blue-chip winner."

Exhibit 8A powerhouse undone · 1948 to 1964
1948 Earned about $18M in profit 10,000 WORKERS · 12 MILLS 1955 Net worth $53M at merger 1964 Down to just 2 mills Net worth only $22M
Over the years that followed, the business shrank and lost money. Its net worth fell from $53M at the 1955 merger to just $22M by 1964. One flattering photo, a very different film.
Picture it

A single photo versus the whole movie. A big smile in one frame can hide a sad film, and a dull frame can hide a wonderful one. Always ask to see the whole movie.

05
Quiet Winners

The best businesses grow without needing cash

Buffett's favorite kind of business makes plenty of profit without needing much new money to keep growing. These rarely have a flashy year, which is exactly why people overlook them.

The idea

A dream business earns lots of profit but barely needs new cash to grow, so the profit is yours to keep or to put to work elsewhere.

Berkshire owned a small bank in Illinois. For its size it earned about three times as much on its assets as most big banks, while staying very safe. It was started in 1931 with $250,000 and earned just $8,782 in its first full year. No new money has gone in since; instead, over the years, it has handed its owner $20 million in cash, a bank that gives money back rather than asking for more. It earned $3.6 million in 1977.

Earnings rate vs. most large banks
$8,782
Profit in its first full year
$20M
Cash handed back over the years
$3.6M
Profit in 1977
The idea, sharpened

The clearest sign of a great business: it can charge more each year, and earn more, without having to sell more.

Berkshire also owned a slice of a candy company, See's Candies. In just five years its yearly profit grew from $4.2 million to $12.6 million, roughly tripling, and it managed this with very little new money, in a candy market that was barely growing at all. People simply loved it enough to pay more.

Exhibit 9See's Candies · profit tripled in five years
$4.2M 1972 · AT PURCHASE $12.6M 1977 ≈ 3× FLAT MARKET LITTLE NEW CAPITAL
Tripling profit with almost no new money, in a market that was barely growing, is the mark of real pricing power.
Picture it

A beloved local bakery. Everyone adores it, so it can nudge prices up a little every year and customers happily pay, without baking a single extra loaf. More profit, no extra work, no extra cost. That is the quiet magic Buffett hunts for.

Carry these five with you

The whole chapter, at a glance

No.The ideaThe 1977 proofRemember it as
01
Judge profit against the owners' money, not against last year.
19% earned on the owners' money
A savings account that grows on its own
02
Some industries stay hard no matter how good you are.
The struggling cloth mills
Sprinting into a headwind
03
Others carry you, even past a few honest mistakes.
Insurance grew ≈ 7× in a decade
The wind at your back
04
Buy a slice the way you would buy the whole shop.
A $107M basket, bought on the dips
Four questions before you buy
05
The best businesses grow without needing new cash.
See's tripled; the little bank gave cash back
A loved bakery quietly raising prices
From the 1977 letter

In his own words

On what to measure

"We believe a more appropriate measure of managerial economic performance to be return on equity capital."

On tailwinds

"One of the lessons your management has learned (and, unfortunately, sometimes re-learned) is the importance of being in businesses where tailwinds prevail rather than headwinds."

On mistakes

"It is comforting to be in a business where some mistakes can be made and yet a quite satisfactory overall performance can be achieved."

On the insurance trade

"Insurance companies offer standardized policies which can be copied by anyone. Their only products are promises."

On buying shares

"We select our marketable equity securities in much the same way we would evaluate a business for acquisition in its entirety."

On falling prices

"We welcome lower market prices of stocks we own as an opportunity to acquire even more of a good thing at a better price."

On single years

"So much for single year snapshots as adequate portrayals of a business."

On owning vs. running

"We can obtain a better management result through non-control than control. This is an unorthodox view, but one we believe to be sound."

The takeaway

The whole first letter, in one breath.

"The scorecard on our investment decisions will be provided by business results over that period, and not by prices on any given day."

Don't be fooled by bigger numbers: check the profit against the money it took to earn. Know whether your business has the wind with it or against it. Where everyone sells the same thing, bet on the people. Buy a slice like a careful owner. And never trust a single snapshot when you could watch the whole story. These same ideas, tested and retold, will return in every chapter ahead.

LETTERS FROM OMAHA · A plain-English guide to Warren Buffett's letters · Chapter 01. This chapter retells Berkshire Hathaway's shareholder letter for 1977, written by Warren E. Buffett and dated March 14, 1978. Sources, methods, copyright, and disclaimers appear on the copyright page.